The virological epidemiology of the different influenza strains is reasonably well understood. Effective vaccines with negligible serious adverse effects are made and available for circulating strains within months. This sets up the conditions for a public vaccination strategy.
The arguments against mass vaccination are that it is required annually, the attack rate varies widely from year to year and place to place, the vaccine does not protect against all cases of clinical influenza, and healthy adults that do get influenza rarely succumb to serious complications.
Influenza vaccination commonly causes local pain and swelling at the injection site (greater than 10%). It can also cause a mild influenza-like illness including fever and myalgia commencing a few hours after vaccination and lasting 1-2 days (1-10%). These adverse effects may put people off being vaccinated, especially if they have experienced them before. Treatment with paracetamol is effective.
For the southern hemisphere in 2007, the who recommended a vaccine composition that should protect against: A/New Caledonia/20/99(H1N1)-like virus, A/Wisconsin/67/2005(H3N2)-like virus and B/Malaysia/2506/2004-like virus.7This mix is available commercially from four pharmaceutical companies.
Currently, a live influenza vaccination delivered by nasal spray is undergoing phase III trials. If the trials are successful, it can be expected to have greater patient acceptability compared to vaccination by injection.
Evidence for vaccination
While the NHMRC has recommended that vaccination be provided to everyone who wishes to reduce their likelihood of becoming ill with influenza, it could not justify universal public vaccination programs for healthy adults. The reasoning for this is that the beneficial effect for the population group is relatively small. However, the benefit varies according to the setting that population members are within.
For healthy adults in the general community setting, a Cochrane review (of 25 studies involving almost 60 000 people) found that the recommended inactivated parenteral vaccines had a vaccine efficacy of 70% against the strains for which they were formulated. These vaccines have an efficacy of 25% against clinical influenza, resulting in a 6% reduction in people experiencing clinical influenza.8
This means that in a season where influenza will cause illness in say 24% of the unvaccinated population, vaccination will reduce the risk of influenza by 6% from 24% to 18% (6 is 25% of 24). Out of every 100 people vaccinated, 6 will benefit and 94 will not. Put another way, 17 people need to be vaccinated for one to benefit.
Vaccination of healthy adults caring for people at risk of complications from influenza aims to reduce the exposure of those they care for to influenza. However, a Cochrane review of this strategy in aged-care settings found staff vaccination was only associated with reduced influenza-like illness in patients when the patients were vaccinated too.9
We can surmise that in the residential care setting, vaccination of staff reduces the patient's chance of being exposed to the influenza virus, but vaccination of patients, which reduces the exposed patient's chance of becoming infected, is also required to synergistically reduce patient infection rates.
Should healthy adults be vaccinated?
The upshot of the available evidence and expert recommendations is that at a personal level, it is quite reasonable for healthy adults not to be vaccinated against influenza, with the expectation that if they do contract influenza it will be a brief illness from which they will fully recover. Of course, many healthy adults will have views on how much they wish to avoid influenza and this may be influenced by forthcoming events such as international travel, weddings, exams and conferences.
However, when healthy adults are in the setting of caring for people who have a high risk of complications from influenza, the duty of care makes for a clear-cut recommendation to vaccinate.
While such a 'settings' approach to clinical decision-making is intuitively sensible, it is often not given the prominence it deserves in public health thinking. Nevertheless, it is central to understanding the difference between the NHMRC recommendation that all adults who wish to lower their risk of influenza should consider vaccination, and the lack of coverage of healthy adults (without caring responsibilities) in the free National Immunisation Program.
Funding for vaccination
For healthy adults who work, vaccination is reasonably cost-effective, and may even be cost saving if more than two and a half days of work are lost for every episode of influenza.10This makes it reasonable for employers to offer influenza vaccination to their staff, as many employers now do. Self-employed and casually-employed people who do not receive sickness benefits may be particularly attracted to vaccination.
One reason for public funding of health care for those who can afford it, is that individuals are not readily able to decide for themselves what health care is in their best interests. Where individuals can decide for themselves, the arguments for public funding for this group become significantly weaker. For healthy consenting adults, their individual judgement about the importance of avoiding influenza is central to determining the value to them of being vaccinated. This increases the likelihood that adults with the means, or their employers, will pay for vaccination, and reduces the imperative for governments to take over the responsibility of funding vaccination for this group.