Cardiovascular medicine is fortunate to have a
wealth of clinical trials providing a solid
evidence base from which the clinician can make
an informed choice of appropriate, efficacious
and cost-effective therapies. This trend will
continue because of the growing commitment
worldwide to the principles of evidence-based
medicine.
The progressive fall in age-adjusted cardiovascular
mortality, which has been one of the remarkable
success stories of the last 25 years, will continue
in this millennium. However, even with this
improvement, because of the ageing of the
population, the total burden of cardiovascular
disease on the health care system and on society
will continue to increase.
Nowhere will this be more evident than with cardiac
failure. Clinical trials will continue to provide
evidence of therapies which reduce mortality and
need for hospitalisation. However, producing a
clinically meaningful improvement in quality of life
in this terrible disease may remain an elusive goal.
This is because none of our therapies, other than
heart transplantation, has so far managed to
influence the fundamental problem of loss of
myocardium.
There is the potential for molecular biological
techniques to address this issue. Myocardial cells
have always been considered as terminally
differentiated, from shortly after birth. By
unlocking the secrets of the processes which control
cell differentiation and division, scientists will
soon be able to produce new myocardial cells. This
will be the first step in a process which has the
potential, in the longer term, to repair the damaged
heart.
However, it is in the area of pathogenesis and
pathophysiology of disease that these molecular
approaches will have their greatest impact.
Scientists are just starting to reap the rewards
from studying animals with either selective
deletions or selective over-expression of specific
genes. This allows them to test hypotheses about the
role of the gene and its product in the pathogenesis
of particular diseases.