Elevated concentrations of LDL cholesterol, total cholesterol, triglyceride or low concentrations of HDL cholesterol are risk factors for coronary heart disease. The anticipated benefits of treatment are a reduction in the incidence of cardiac events and mortality in patients with (secondary prevention) and without (primary prevention) ischaemic heart disease.
Four major studies have been published about the statins available in Australia. To compare benefits between studies, data for key outcomes are expressed as the absolute risk reduction from treatment and the estimate of the number of people who need to be treated to prevent one event.
Table 2 Secondary prevention
Lipids (change from baseline) *
|
All-cause mortality
|
Major coronary events
|
Revascularisation
|
Stroke or TIA
|
Scandinavian Simvastatin Survival Study (4S)3
Subjects: 4444 (82% men) aged 35-70; post myocardial infarction or angina and TC 5.5-8.0 mmol/L. Treatment: simvastatin 20-40 mg/day or placebo; median follow-up 5.4 years
|
TC 25%
|
ARR - 3.5%
|
ARR - 8.6%
|
ARR - 5.9%
|
ARR - 1.5%
|
LDL 35%
|
NNT for 5 years
|
NNT for 5 years
|
NNT for 5 years
|
NNT for 5 years
|
HDL 8%
|
to prevent 1 death -29
|
to prevent 1 event -12
|
to prevent 1 procedure -17
|
to prevent 1 event -65
|
Cholesterol and Recurrent Events (CARE) study4,6
Subjects: 4159 (86% men) aged 21-75; post myocardial infarction TC <6.2 mmol/L, LDL 3-4.5 mmol/L. Treatment: pravastatin 40 mg/day or placebo for 5 years
|
TC 20%
|
ARR - 0.8%
|
ARR - 3.0%
|
ARR - 4.7%
|
ARR - 1.2%
|
LDL 32%
|
NNT for 5 years
|
NNT for 5 years
|
NNT for 5 years
|
NNT for 5 years
|
HDL 5%
|
to prevent 1 death -125
|
to prevent 1 event -33
|
to prevent 1 procedure -21
|
to prevent 1 stroke -86
|
Long-term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischaemic Disease (LIPID) study5
Subjects: 9014 (83% men) aged 31-75; post myocardial infarction or unstable angina and TC 4.0-7.0 mmol/L, TG <5 mmol/L. Treatment: pravastatin 40 mg/day or placebo for 6 years
|
TC 18%
|
ARR - 3.0%
|
ARR - 3.5%
|
ARR - 2.7%
|
ARR - 0.8%
|
LDL 25%
|
NNT for 6 years to prevent
|
NNT for 6 years to prevent
|
NNT for 6 years to prevent
|
NNT for 6 years to prevent
|
HDL 5%
|
1 death -33
|
1 event -28
|
1 procedure -36
|
1 stroke -127
|
Table 3 Primary prevention
Secondary prevention
The 4S,3 CARE4 and LIPID5 studies (Table 2) provide evidence that statins can reduce coronary events, the need for revascularisation (coronary surgery or angioplasty), stroke and all-cause mortality in patients with a history of angina or acute myocardial infarction. The larger estimated benefit from the 4S study may be because it included patients with higher cholesterol concentrations; the average baseline LDL cholesterol was 4.87 mmol/L in 4S, while the upper limit for inclusion in the CARE trial was 4.5 mmol/L. The LIPID study (Table 2), which encompasses a broad range of initial cholesterol concentrations, shows a trend for patients with higher baseline cholesterol concentrations to derive the greatest benefit from statin treatment. The CARE study included stroke as a secondary endpoint in patients receiving pravastatin after myocardial infarction. It found the risk of stroke was significantly reduced only in patients without a prior history of stroke.6
Primary prevention
The WOSCOP study has shown that statins can prevent coronary events in men with no history of myocardial infarction.7 However, the West of Scotland has one of the highest rates of death due to ischaemic heart disease in the world, and this study (Table 3) included many men at high risk of coronary events (5% had angina, 8% ECG abnormality, 15% hypertension and 44% were current smokers). Would a similar study in Australian men produce such beneficial results?
A U.S. study in generally healthy men and women with average cholesterol concentrations (AFCAPS/TexCAPS)8 shows that lovastatin (related chemically to pravastatin and simvastatin) can significantly reduce the risk of first major coronary events (ARR 2.0%) in low-risk patients.
Further analyses of these studies may identify groups of people with a higher risk of CHD who may benefit from treatment. (See also `Sheffield tables for primary prevention of coronary heart disease - an alternative approach.' Aust Prescr 1998;21:98-9.)