Surrogate measures indicate that a 25-hydroxyvitamin D threshold of 50 nanomol/L is a suitable target for treatment. Supplementation of patients at highest risk for fracture should aim to achieve above this target.
No clinical studies investigating the effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D treatment on fracture reduction have recruited people based on their 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations. Also, no intervention studies with calcium and vitamin D targeted the 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration required for fracture prevention. Consequently, the threshold of 50 nanomol/L is determined by surrogate measures which relate fracture risk factors to vitamin D concentrations.
Fractures
An observational study of American women found hip fractures were more common in women with 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations below 47.5 nanomol/L.8
Parathyroid hormone
Parathyroid hormone was the first biomarker to indicate that a 25-hydroxyvitamin D threshold of 50 nanomol/L was adequate based on the change in parathyroid hormone with cholecalciferol and calcium therapy.9 This threshold has been verified in a larger study.10
Bone turnover markers and bone density
Data using biochemical bone turnover markers show that the 25-hydroxyvitamin D threshold for higher bone resorption and hence higher fracture risk is closer to 50 nanomol/L than to 75 nanomol/L.11
Data from over 1200 community-dwelling men over the age of 65 years found a 25-hydroxyvitamin D below 49 nanomol/L was associated with higher rates of loss of hip bone density.12
Calcium absorption
The change in serum calcium following oral calcium loading has been used as a surrogate measure of fractional calcium absorption.13 This estimate is less accurate than dual stable isotopic calcium studies which use two calcium isotopes − one isotope is ingested and one is infused to correct for renal and gastrointestinal recycling. A study assessing fractional calcium absorption (using dual stable isotopic calcium) in individuals before and after cholecalciferol supplementation found that absorption was 3% higher when 25-hydroxyvitamin D was above 100 nanomol/L compared to when it was 55 nanomol/L, a negligible difference.14